Builders Stay Cautious as Single-Family Permits Weaken

2025-10-15T08:16:46-05:00

In August, single-family permit activity softened, reflecting caution among developers amid persistent economic headwinds. This trend has been consistent for eight continuous months. On the multifamily front, permitting also cooled in August but remains in the positive territory. While single-family continues to bear the brunt of affordability headwinds, the multifamily space is showing tentative signs of rebalancing. Over the first eight months of 2025, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 637,096. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is a decline of 7.1% over the August 2024 level of 685,923. For multifamily, the total number of permits issued nationwide reached 330,617. This is 1.4% higher compared to the August 2024 level of 326,080. HBGI analysis indicates that this growth for multifamily development has been concentrated in lower density areas and among smaller builders. Year-to-date ending in August, single-family permits were up in one out of the four regions. The Midwest posted a minor increase of 1.0%. The Northeast was 4.4% lower, the South was down by 7.5%, and the West was down by 11.5% in single-family permits during this time. For multifamily permits, three out of the four regions posted increases. The Midwest was up by 17.2%, the West was up by 9.1%, and the South was up by 1.9%, Meanwhile, the Northeast declined steeply by 23.5%, driven by the New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ MSA which declined by 34.0%. Between August 2025 YTD and August 2024 YTD, 12 states posted an increase in single-family permits. The range of increases spanned 21.2% in Hawaii to 2.5% in Indiana. The remaining 38 states and the District of Columbia reported declines in single-family permits with New Mexico reporting the steepest decline of 35.1%. The ten states issuing the highest number of single-family permits combined accounted for 62.5% of the total single-family permits issued. Texas, the state with the highest number of single-family permits, issued 101,850 permits over the first eight months of 2025; this is a decline of 8.2% compared to the same period last year. The second highest state, Florida, decreased by 11.7%, while the third highest, North Carolina, posted a decline of 3.9%. Between August 2025 YTD and August 2024 YTD, 31 states and the District of Columbia recorded growth in multifamily permits, while 19 states recorded a decline. Mississippi (+113.2%) led the way with a sharp rise in multifamily permits from 250 to 533, while Maryland had the largest decline of 45.8% from 4,383 to 2,374. The ten states issuing the highest number of multifamily permits combined accounted for 60.0% of the multifamily permits issued. Over the first eight months of 2025, Florida, the state with the highest number of multifamily permits issued, experienced an increase of 20.0%. Texas, the second-highest state in multifamily permits, saw an increase of 1.5%. California, the third largest multifamily issuing state, increased by 10.1%. At the local level, below are the top ten metro areas that issued the highest number of single-family permits. For multifamily permits, below are the top ten local areas that issued the highest number of permits. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Builders Stay Cautious as Single-Family Permits Weaken2025-10-15T08:16:46-05:00

House Price Appreciation by State and Metro Area: Second Quarter 2025

2025-09-03T10:21:20-05:00

House price growth continued to slow in the second quarter of 2025, as the housing market faces mounting pressure from high mortgage rates, elevated inventory, and persistent economic uncertainty. After years of rapid growth, the District of Columbia and 27 metro areas recorded modest house price declines during this quarter, highlighting the regional variations in market performance. Nationally, according to the quarterly all-transactions House Price Index (HPI) released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), U.S. house prices rose 3.8% in the second quarter of 2025, compared to the second quarter of 2024. This marks the slowest year-over-year increase since 2013, indicating the broader market cooldown following a decade of robust gains. The FHFA’s all-transactions HPI tracks average price changes based on repeat sales and refinancings of the same single-family properties. It offers insights not only at the national level but also across states and metropolitan areas. Between the second quarter of 2024 and the second quarter of 2025, all 50 states experienced positive year-over-year (YoY) house price appreciation, ranging from 0.9% to 7.5%. In contrast, the District of Columbia saw a 3.4% decline in house prices. Connecticut and New York led the nation with a 7.5% gain each, followed by Rhode Island with a 6.9% gain. On the opposite end, Colorado recorded the lowest house price appreciation at 0.9%. Out of all 50 states and the District of Columbia, 30 states exceeded the national YoY growth rate of 3.8%. However, on a quarterly basis, home price appreciation decelerated in 44 states and the District of Columbia compared to the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a broad-based deceleration in the housing market. House price growth widely varied across U.S. metro areas year-over-year, ranging from -7.4% to +18.1%. Punta Gorda, FL recorded the largest decline in house prices, whereas Sumter, SC posted the highest increase over the previous four quarters. In the second quarter of 2025, 27 metro areas, in reddish color on the map above, experienced negative house price growth. Meanwhile, 359 metro areas experienced price increases. Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, house prices have surged nationally. Between the first quarter of 2020 and the second quarter of 2025, house prices rose by 54.6% nationwide. More than half of metro areas outpaced this national price growth rate of 54.6%. The table below highlights the top ten and bottom ten markets for house price appreciation during this five-year period. Among all the metro areas, house price appreciation ranged from 11.4% to 87.8%. Morristown, TN led the nation with the highest house price appreciation. Lake Charles, LA recorded the lowest appreciation, marking its fifth consecutive quarter at the bottom. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

House Price Appreciation by State and Metro Area: Second Quarter 20252025-09-03T10:21:20-05:00

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