Student Housing Construction Investment Rises in the First Quarter of 2025 

2025-05-05T11:15:52-05:00

Private fixed investment in student dormitories increased by 2.3% in the first quarter of 2025, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $4.04 billion. This gain followed a 1.0% increase in the previous quarter. However, private fixed investment in dorms was 2% lower than a year ago, as elevated interest rates place a damper on student housing construction.   Private fixed investment in student housing experienced a surge after the Great Recession, as college enrollment increased from 17.2 million in 2006 to 20.4 million in 2011. However, during the pandemic, private fixed investment in student housing declined drastically from $4.4 billion (SAAR) in the last quarter of 2019 to a lower annual pace of $3 billion in the second quarter of 2021, as COVID-19 interrupted normal on-campus learning. According to the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, college enrollment fell by 3.6% in the fall of 2020 and by 3.1% in the fall of 2021.   Since then, private fixed investment in dorms has rebounded, as college enrollments show a gradual recovery from pandemic driven declines. Effective in-person learning requires college students to return to campuses, boosting the student housing sector.  Still, demographic trends are reshaping the outlook for student housing. The U.S. faces slower growth in the college-age population as birth rates declined following the Great Recession. As a result, total enrollment in postsecondary institutions is projected to only increase 8% from 2020 to 2030, according to the National Center for Education Statistics, well below the 37% increase between 2000 and 2010.  Despite recent fluctuations, the student housing construction shows signs of recovery and future growth is expected in response to increasing student enrollment projections.  Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Student Housing Construction Investment Rises in the First Quarter of 2025 2025-05-05T11:15:52-05:00

House Sharing is Not Just for Young Adults

2025-04-30T08:23:25-05:00

A record-high 6.8 million households shared their housing with unrelated housemates, roommates or boarders in 2023. While college-age and young adults make up the largest subset of house sharers (close to 41%), this type of living arrangement is gaining popularity among older householders fastest, with the 55+ segment accounting for 30% of all house-sharing households in 2023. The number of households sharing housing with nonrelatives had been rising steadily since the 2008 housing crash until the COVID-19 pandemic interrupted the upward trend. During that period, the count of households with at least one unrelated member increased from 5.3 million in 2008 to over 6.7 million in 2019. At the same time, the percentage of house-sharing households grew from 4.7% to 5.4%. The pandemic dramatically redefined living arrangement preferences. Reflecting the shift towards more spacious, lower-density independent living, the number and percentage of house-sharers collapsed in 2020 (although the data collection issues during the lockdown stages of the COVID-19 pandemic make the 2020 estimates less reliable).  While the percentage of households sharing housing has climbed since the pandemic lows, it remains below the 2019 peak. However, the count of house-sharing households in the U.S. is now at a new record-high point. This is largely reflective of a faster household formation rate since the end of the pandemic, as well as the growing popularity of home sharing arrangements. Young Adults (25-34) Young adults in the 25-34 age group make up the largest (close to 1.6 million, or 23%) cohort of households that share housing with unrelated housemates. Over the last two decades, amid the rising housing burdens and cost of living, house sharing became a way for young adults to afford to leave parental homes. From 2005 to 2017, as the headship rates for this age group declined precipitously and millions of young adults dropped out of the housing market, house sharing became more common among those who managed to stay out of parental homes. In 2017, when 25 to 34-year-old adults registered record low headship rates, one in eleven householders in this age group shared housing with unrelated housemates. By 2023, when the headship rates rebounded, the share of 25 to 34-year-old house-sharing householders dropped to 7.9%, on par with the 2005 reading. While it is tempting to assume that the high prevalence of house sharing among young adults reflects a rise in unmarried partnerships, these are not considered house-sharers in this analysis.  Unmarried partners tend to function as a unit similar to a married couple, dividing their economic, social and financial responsibilities, and not just those related to house-sharing. To differentiate between these different demographic trends, unmarried partnerships are counted as independent households for the purposes of this analysis.1 College-Age Adults (18-24) College-age adults make up the second largest group of house-sharing householders (1.2 million, or 17%). While the total counts are substantial, they represent a decline since 2005 when 1.3 million 18 to 24-year-old householders shared housing with unrelated roommates, accounting for 22% of house-sharing households.  The lower counts of house sharers in this age group reflect, among other factors, the rising share of college-age adults living with parents, declining rates of college attendance in recent years, as well as slower youth population growth. Nevertheless, the youngest householders remain the age group that is most likely to share housing. As of 2023, over one in five leaseholders/homeowners in the 18-24 age group shared housing with unrelated roommates or housemates. Older Adults 55+ Older adults ages 55 and over registered the most substantial gains in house-sharing arrangements since the housing boom of the mid-2000s[1]. The number of households lead by 55 to 64-year-old adults that shared housing almost doubled since 2005 to 1 million. Their segment increased from 9% of house-sharing households in 2005 to 14% in 2023. At the same time, the number of house-sharers among 65+ householders increased 2.7 times. These oldest householders now account for over a million, or 15% of all house-sharing households, more than doubling their share of 6.8% in 2005. Partially, the surge in the number of older households sharing housing with nonrelatives simply reflects the aging U.S. population with numerous baby boomers filling the ranks of 55+ households. Partially, it captures the changing preferences, as the older householders are now more likely to live with unrelated members. In 2005, 3% of 55 to 64-year-old householders shared housing with nonrelatives. This share increased to 3.6% in 2013 and continued its climb to 4.1% in 2023. The increase in the percentage of 65+ householders sharing housing was similarly persistent, rising from 1.7% in 2005, to 2.3% in 2013, and climbing further to reach 2.8% in 2023. Unlike the rates of house-sharing among younger adults, the rates for the 55+ age group appear less cyclical. While still largely unconventional among 55 and older householders, house sharing is on the rise, potentially offering a cost-effective option for older adults to stay in place as they age.2 The ACS microdata allows differentiating between unmarried partners and those living with roommates/housemates/nonrelatives, even though they are all included in Census’s separate variable that counts unrelated household members.Conventionally, the population in group quarters, such as dormitories, nursing homes, etc., are not included in household counts. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

House Sharing is Not Just for Young Adults2025-04-30T08:23:25-05:00

Manufactured Homes: An Alternative Means of Housing Supply

2025-04-03T09:25:14-05:00

Manufactured homes play a measurable role in the U.S. housing market by providing an affordable supply option for millions of households. According to the American Housing Survey (AHS), there are 7.2 million occupied manufactured homes in the U.S., representing 5.4% of total occupied housing and a source of affordable housing, in particular, for rural and lower income households. Often thought of as synonymous to “mobile homes” or “trailers”, manufactured homes are a specific type of factory-built housing that adheres to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development’s (HUD’s) Manufactured Home Construction and Safety Standards code. To qualify, a manufactured home must be a “movable dwelling, 8 feet or more wide and 40 feet or more long”, constructed on a permanent chassis. The East South Central division (Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi and Tennessee) have the highest concentration of manufactured homes, representing 9.3% of total occupied housing. The Mountain region follows with 8.5%, while the South Atlantic region holds 7.7%. The 1990s saw a surge in manufactured home shipments, peaking in 1998. During this period, manufactured homes constituted 17% to 24% of new single-family homes1.  However, shipments declined in the early 2000s, coinciding with a rapid increase in site-built housing construction leading up to the 2008 housing crisis. Since then, manufactured homes have stabilized at around 9% to 10% of new housing. Characteristics of the 2023 Manufactured Home Stock Given that most manufactured homes were produced in the 1990s, a significant portion of the existing manufactured home stock — approximately 72.2% — was built before 2000. Consequently, 7.7% of these homes are classified as inadequate compared to5% of all homes nationwide. About 2% are considered severely inadequate and exhibit “major deficiencies, such as exposed wiring, lack of electricity, missing hot or cold running water, or the absence of heating or cooling systems”. However, with proper maintenance, manufactured homes can be as durable as site-built homes. Currently, 57% of the occupied manufactured homes stock are single-section units, while 43% are multi-sections, according to the AHS. Single-section homes are manufactured homes that can be transported from factory to placement in a single piece while multi-sections are transported in multiple pieces and are joined on site. However, data from the Census show that newer shipments indicate a shift toward multi-section homes. Most single-section homes are less than 1,000 square feet and contain five total rooms in the house — typically two bedrooms and three bathrooms. In contrast, multi-section homes usually range from 1,000 to 2,000 square feet and have six rooms, comprising three bedrooms and three bathrooms. Demographics of Manufactured Homes Residents Manufactured homes serve as a crucial housing option, particularly for those living in rural or non-metro areas. AHS data highlight a stark contrast between the locations of single-family and manufactured home residents. While most manufactured home residents (53%) live in rural areas, single-family residents are mostly concentrated (67%) in urbanized areas — defined as territories with a population of 50,000 or more. In comparison, only 33% of manufactured home residents reside in urbanized areas. Residents of both manufactured and single-family homes are less common in urban clusters — areas with populations between 2,500 and 50,000 — comprising just 13% and 9%, respectively. The median age of a manufactured home householder is 55, the same as single-family householders. However, most manufactured home householders (37.8%) have an education attainment level of high school completion compared to single-family householders whose largest group (24.8%) have completed a bachelor’s degree. Income disparities are also significant. The median household income for manufactured home residents is $40,000, far below the $85,000 median income for single-family householders. The gap widens among homeowners, with manufactured homeowners earning a median of $41,500 versus $93,000 for single-family homeowners. Household CharacteristicManufactured Homes HouseholdSingle-Family HouseholdAge (Median)5555Majority Education Attainment LevelHigh school or equivalency (37.8%)Bachelor’s degree (24.8%)Annual Household Income (Median)$40,000$85,000Annual Household Income of Homeowners (Median)$41,500$93,000Sources: 2023 American Housing Survey (AHS) and NAHB analysis. Cost of Buying and Owning Manufactured Homes One of the key advantages of manufactured homes is affordability. The average cost per square foot for a new manufactured home in 2023 was $86.62, compared to $165.94 for a site-built home (excluding land costs) — a difference of $79.32 per square foot. This difference in cost has only grown over the decade from $51.84 per square foot in 2014. For a 1,500-square-foot home, this translates to a savings of approximately $118,980, and this savings has grown despite the average cost of manufactured homes increasing at a higher growth rate of 7.4% CAGR2 versus 6.1% CAGR for new single-family homes. Owning a manufactured home is also more affordable in total housing cost, which includes mortgage payments, insurance, taxes, utilities and lot rent. According to the AHS, owners of a single-section manufactured home have a median total monthly housing cost of $563, while the cost for a multi-section home is $805. In contrast, the median monthly cost of owning a single-family home is $1,410. Despite the lower costs associated with manufactured homes, affordability remains a challenge for many owners. Among single-section manufactured homeowners, 36.6% are considered cost-burdened, meaning they spend 30% or more of their income on housing. This is slightly higher than the 28.4% of multi-section manufactured homeowners and the 27.6% of single-family homeowners facing similar financial strain. This disparity underscores the reality that even though manufactured homes are a more affordable option, lower-income households are still disproportionately burdened by housing costs. Manufactured Home Pricing Data on manufactured home appreciation is limited. However, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) publishes a quarterly house price index for manufactured homes. Comparing the indices for manufactured and site-built homes, manufactured homes have closely followed the appreciation trends of their site-built counterparts. Between the first quarter of 2000 and the last quarter of 2024, the index value for manufactured homes increased by a cumulative 203.7%, slightly surpassing the 200.2% increase for site-built homes. This indicates that the manufactured home markets face much of the same demand opportunities and supply challenges of the broader housing market. It is important to note that this data reflects only manufactured homes financed through conventional mortgages as real property, acquired by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises). In contrast, the majority of new manufactured homes are titled as personal property, which is not eligible for conventional mortgage financing because the Enterprises do not acquire chattel loans. Nonetheless, it is common for manufactured homes to be placed on private land even though the unit is under a personal property title — a title that applies to movable assets, such as vehicles, tools or equipment, and furniture, whereas a real estate property title includes land and any structures permanently attached to it. Despite this distinction, there has been a steady increase in the share of manufactured homes titled as real estate. Since 2014, the percentage of real estate-titled manufactured homes has grown from 13% to 20% in 2023, indicating a positive trend toward greater financial recognition and stability for these homes. Zoning Restrictions and the Future of Manufactured Homes Manufactured homes provide a cost-effective housing solution, particularly in rural areas where the transportation and material costs for site-built homes can be significantly higher. However, restrictive zoning laws often limit their placement in urban areas. Regulations such as bans on manufactured home communities and large lot size requirements can substantially increase costs, making it difficult to establish manufactured housing in cities. Reducing these zoning barriers could not only expand affordable housing options in high-cost urban areas but also improve access to essential services such as healthcare and economic opportunities for lower-income communities. A successful example of zoning reform comes from Jackson, Mississippi, where city officials partnered with the Mississippi Manufactured Housing Association (MMHA) to launch a pilot program highlighting the potential of prefabricated and manufactured homes as affordable housing solutions. As part of the initiative, the city revised its zoning regulations to distinguish manufactured and modular housing from pre-1976 “mobile homes,” which had long been banned. Previously, manufactured homes were classified under the same category, restricting their placement. The new ordinance now permits manufactured housing within city limits, albeit with a discretionary use permit, paving the way for greater affordability and accessibility in urban housing. Conclusion Manufactured homes make up only 5% of the total housing stock but provide an alternative form of housing that meets the needs of various households, particularly in rural areas. Although they offer a lower-cost option compared with site-built homes, factors such as an aging housing stock, financing limitations and zoning restrictions could influence their accessibility and long-term viability. Trends such as the increasing prevalence of multi-section homes and a growing share of units titled as real estate suggest a gradual shift in consumer preferences toward housing options that more closely resemble site-built homes in size, functionality and financing. As housing affordability remains a key concern, manufactured homes continue to play a role as an affordable supply in the broader housing landscape, and expanding their use through education, innovation and zoning reform could improve access to cost-effective housing. Footnotes: Calculated as the share of total single-family housing starts and total new manufactured home shipments.Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is the annualized average rate of growth over a period of time. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Manufactured Homes: An Alternative Means of Housing Supply2025-04-03T09:25:14-05:00

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