August Job Gain Led by Construction

2024-09-06T13:15:23-05:00

Today’s jobs report and the newly released preliminary estimate of the benchmark revision indicate that the U.S. labor market is slowing from its overheated state in 2021 and 2022 but remains stable. Among all sectors, construction led the August job gains, adding 34,000 jobs to payrolls. Additionally, wage growth accelerated in August. Wages grew at a 3.8% year-over-year (YOY) growth rate, down 0.7 percentage points from a year ago. Wage growth is outpacing inflation, which typically occurs as productivity increases. National Employment Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 142,000 in August, following a downwardly revised increase of 89,000 jobs in July, as reported in the Employment Situation Summary. The estimates for the previous two months were revised lower. The monthly change in total nonfarm payroll employment for June was revised down by 61,000, from +179,000 to +118,000, while the change for July was revised down by 25,000 from +114,000 to +89,000. Combined, the revisions were 86,000 lower than the original estimates. Despite restrictive monetary policy, about 7.9 million jobs have been created since March 2022, when the Fed enacted the first interest rate hike of this cycle. In the first eight months of 2024, 1,475,000 jobs were created. Additionally, monthly employment growth averaged 184,000 per month, compared with the 251,000 monthly average gain for 2023. In August, the unemployment rate eased slightly to 4.2%, from 4.3% in July. The August decrease in the unemployment rate reflected the decrease in the number of persons unemployed (-48,000) and the increase in the number of persons employed (+168,000). Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate—the proportion of the population either looking for a job or already holding a job—remained at 62.7%. However, for people aged between 25 and 54, the participation rate dipped slightly to 83.9%. This rate exceeds the pre-pandemic level of 83.1%. Meanwhile, the overall labor force participation rate is still below its pre-pandemic levels when it stood at 63.3% at the beginning of 2020. For industry sectors, construction (+34,000), health care (+31,000), and social assistance (+13,000) had job gains in August, while manufacturing lost 24,000 jobs. Employment in other major industries showed little change over the month. Construction Employment Employment in the overall construction sector in August (+34,000) experienced an increase, from the 13,000 job gains in July. While residential construction gained 5,600 jobs, non-residential construction employment added 28,300 jobs for the month. Residential construction employment now stands at 3.4 million in August, broken down as 951,000 builders and 2.4 million residential specialty trade contractors. The 6-month moving average of job gains for residential construction was 5,667 a month. Over the last 12 months, home builders and remodelers added 63,100 jobs on a net basis. Since the low point following the Great Recession, residential construction has gained 1,385,000 positions. In August, the unemployment rate for construction workers declined to 3.9% on a seasonally adjusted basis. The unemployment rate for construction workers has remained at a relatively lower level, after reaching 15.3% in April 2020, due to the housing demand impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

August Job Gain Led by Construction2024-09-06T13:15:23-05:00

State Level Employment Situation: July 2024

2024-08-21T09:14:53-05:00

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 28 states in July compared to the previous month, while 22 states saw a decrease. The District of Columbia reported no change. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 114,000 in July, following a gain of 179,000 jobs in June. On a month-over-month basis, employment data was most favorable in New York, which added 41,400 jobs, followed by Florida (+21,800), and then California (+21,100). A total of 81,700 jobs were lost across the 22 states, with Missouri reporting the steepest job losses at 22,400. In percentage terms, employment increased the highest in Vermont at 0.5%, while Missouri saw the biggest decline at 0.7% between June and July. Year-over-year ending in July, 2.5 million jobs have been added to the labor market across all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The range of job gains spanned from 1,900 jobs in Wyoming to 284,400 jobs in California. In percentage terms, the range of job growth spanned 3.7% in South Carolina to 0.4% in Oregon. Across the nation, construction sector jobs data[1]—which includes both residential and non-residential construction—showed that 29 states and the District of Columbia reported an increase in July compared to June, while 16 states lost construction sector jobs. The five remaining states reported no change on a month-over-month basis. Florida, with the highest increase, added 6,300 construction jobs, while New York, on the other end of the spectrum, lost 3,800 jobs. Overall, the construction industry added a net 25,000 jobs in July compared to the previous month. In percentage terms, Tennessee reported the highest increase at 3.3% and Arkansas reported the largest decline at 1.2%. Year-over-year, construction sector jobs in the U.S. increased by 239,000, which is a 3.0% increase compared to the July 2023 level. Florida added 36,700 jobs, which was the largest gain of any state, while New York lost 8,100 construction sector jobs. In percentage terms, Alaska had the highest annual growth rate in the construction sector at 19.9%. Over this period, Maine reported the largest decline of 4.1%. [1] For this analysis, BLS combined employment totals for mining, logging, and construction are treated as construction employment for the District of Columbia, Delaware, and Hawaii. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

State Level Employment Situation: July 20242024-08-21T09:14:53-05:00

Labor Market Continues to Soften in July

2024-08-02T13:17:17-05:00

In July, job growth decelerated significantly, and the unemployment rate increased to a nearly three-year high of 4.3%. The July data indicates that the labor market is slowing, which signals monetary policy easing in the months ahead. Additionally, wage growth slowed for the second month in a row. In July, wages grew at a 3.6% year-over-year (YOY) growth rate, down 1.0 percentage point from a year ago. This marks the lowest YOY wage gain in the past four years. Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 114,000 in July, following a downwardly revised increase of 179,000 jobs in June, as reported in the Employment Situation Summary. The estimates for the previous two months were revised down. The monthly change in total nonfarm payroll employment for May was revised down by 2,000, from +218,000 to +216,000, while the change for June was revised down by 27,000 from +206,000 to +179,000. Combined, the revisions were 29,000 lower than the original estimates. Despite restrictive monetary policy, nearly 7.8 million jobs have been created since March 2022, when the Fed enacted the first interest rate hike of this cycle. In the first seven months of 2024, 1,419,000 jobs were created. Additionally, monthly employment growth averaged 203,000 per month, compared with the 251,000 monthly average gain for 2023. In July, the unemployment rate rose for the fourth straight month to 4.3%, the highest rate since October 2021. The number of unemployed persons rose by 352,000, while the number of employed persons was barely changed. Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate, the proportion of the population either looking for a job or already holding a job, rose 1.0 percentage point to 62.7% for July. Moreover, the labor force participation rate for people aged between 25 and 54 ticked up to 84.0%, the highest level since March 2001. While the overall labor force participation rate is still below its pre-pandemic levels at the beginning of 2020, the rate for people aged between 25 and 54 exceeds the pre-pandemic level of 83.1%. For industry sectors, health care (+55,000), construction (+25,000), and transportation and warehousing (+14,000) have notable job gains in July, while information employment lost 20,000 jobs. Employment in the overall construction sector increased by 25,000 in July, after 20,000 gains in June. While residential construction gained 9,100 jobs, non-residential construction employment added 16,200 jobs for the month. Residential construction employment now stands at 3.4 million in July, broken down as 950,000 builders and 2.4 million residential specialty trade contractors. The 6-month moving average of job gains for residential construction was 6,067 a month. Over the last 12 months, home builders and remodelers added 67,600 jobs on a net basis. Since the low point following the Great Recession, residential construction has gained 1,387,400 positions. In July, the unemployment rate for construction workers rose to 4.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis. The unemployment rate for construction workers remained at a relatively lower level, after reaching 15.3% in April 2020, due to the housing demand impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Labor Market Continues to Soften in July2024-08-02T13:17:17-05:00

State Level Employment Situation: May 2024

2024-06-25T16:19:07-05:00

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 41 states and the District of Columbia in May compared to the previous month, while nine states saw a decrease. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 272,000 in May, following a gain of 165,000 jobs in April. On a month-over-month basis, employment data was most favorable in California, which added 43,700 jobs, followed by Texas (+41,800), and then New York (+21,700). A total of 19,400 jobs were lost across the nine states, with Minnesota reporting the steepest job losses at 8,600. In percentage terms, employment increased the highest in Idaho at 0.9%, while Minnesota saw the biggest decline at 0.3% between April and May. Year-over-year ending in May, 2.8 million jobs have been added to the labor market across all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The range of job gains spanned from 1,300 jobs in Oregon to 316,700 jobs in Texas. In percentage terms, the range of job growth spanned 3.5% in Alaska and South Carolina to 0.1% in Oregon. Across the nation, construction sector jobs data1 —which includes both residential and non-residential construction—showed that 26 states reported an increase in May compared to April, while 22 states and the District of Columbia lost construction sector jobs. The two remaining states, North Dakota and Rhode Island reported no change on a month-over-month basis. Ohio, with the highest increase, added 7,000 construction jobs, while Tennessee, on the other end of the spectrum, lost 1,700 jobs. Overall, the construction industry added a net 21,000 jobs in May compared to the previous month. In percentage terms, Ohio reported the highest increase at 3.0% and Maine reported the largest decline at 2.1%. Year-over-year, construction sector jobs in the U.S. increased by 251,000, which is a 3.1% increase compared to the May 2023 level. Texas added 35,000 jobs, which was the largest gain of any state, while Maryland lost 5,000 construction sector jobs. In percentage terms, Alaska had the highest annual growth rate in the construction sector at 20.4%. Over this period, the District of Columbia reported the largest decline of 3.3%. For this analysis, BLS combined employment totals for mining, logging, and construction are treated as construction employment for the District of Columbia, Delaware, and Hawaii. ↩︎ Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts to your email.

State Level Employment Situation: May 20242024-06-25T16:19:07-05:00

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