Flat Conditions for Single-Family Home Size

2024-08-21T08:21:12-05:00

An expected impact of the virus crisis was a need for more residential space, as people use homes for more purposes including work. Home size correspondingly increased in 2021 as interest rates reached historic lows. However, as interest rates increased in 2022 and 2023, and housing affordability worsened, the demand for home size has trended lower. According to second quarter 2024 data from the Census Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design and NAHB analysis, median single-family square floor area edged up to 2,164 square feet, just off the lowest reading since the second half of 2009. Average (mean) square footage for new single-family homes registered at 2,363 square feet. Since Great Recession lows (and on a one-year moving average basis), the average size of a new single-family home is now effectively flat at 2,387 square feet, while the median size is about 3% higher at 2,165 square feet. Home size rose from 2009 to 2015 as entry-level new construction lost market share. Home size declined between 2016 and 2020 as more starter homes were developed. After a brief increase during the post-COVID building boom, home size trended lower due to declining affordability conditions. As interest rates decline, new home size could level off and increase in the quarters ahead. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Flat Conditions for Single-Family Home Size2024-08-21T08:21:12-05:00

Market Share of 5,000+ Square Foot Homes Declines in 2023

2024-07-26T10:19:36-05:00

The number of homes started in 2023 exceeding 5,000 square feet, dropped to 26,000, a decrease from 29,000 in 2022, according to the annual data from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC). In 2006, the number of new 5,000+ square foot homes reached a peak of 45,000. This number proceeded to drop during the Great Recession and hit a low of 11,000 in 2009. Since 2013, this number has remained consistently above 20,000, and reached a small peak of 33,000 in 2021. Of the total number of new homes started in 2023, the share of new homes with 5,000+ square feet was down slightly as well, from 2.90% in 2021 to 2.76% in 2023. In 2015, the 5,000+ square foot home share reached a peak of 3.92%. Since then, the share has fluctuated in a band between 2.50% and 3.08%.  The 2023 decline in the share of 5,000+ square foot homes is consistent with the recent, quarterly downward trend in median and average size of new single-family homes.  Tabulating the major characteristics of 5,000+ square foot homes started in 2023, the data shows 84% have a porch, 79% have a finished basement, 67% have 4 bathrooms or more, 61% have a patio, 60% have a 3-or-more car garage, 50% belong to a community association and 58% have 5 bedrooms or more.  Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Market Share of 5,000+ Square Foot Homes Declines in 20232024-07-26T10:19:36-05:00

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