Volume of Residential Construction Loans Falls in Q4 2024

2025-03-21T08:21:35-05:00

Higher interest rates and tight financial lending conditions have led to a decline in loans for new home construction. The total volume of acquisition, development, and construction (AD&C) loans outstanding from FDIC-insured institutions fell 1.02% to $490.7 billion, the third straight quarterly decline. The level of 1-4 residential construction loans, which include loans for the construction of single-family homes and townhomes, has fallen for seven consecutive quarters. Coincidingly, the volume of 1-4 family residential construction has moved to its lowest level since 2021. The volume of 1-4 family residential construction and land development loans totaled $89.5 billion in the fourth quarter, down 7.6% from one year ago. This is also down after reaching a recent high of $105.0 billion in the first quarter of 2023. To end the year, a plurality of outstanding loans was held by smaller banking institutions, those with $1 billion-$10 billion in total assets, totaling $30.2 billion (33.7%). Banks with $10 billion- $250 billion in assets held the second largest share at $29.8 billion (33.3%), followed by the smallest banks with under $1 billion in assets, holding $20.7 billion (23.1%). The largest banks with over $250 billion in assets held the smallest amount at $8.8 billion (9.8%). Notably, 56.9% of 1-4 family residential construction and development loans were held by banks with under $10 billion in assets to end 2024. Small community banks play a vital role ensuring financial and lending opportunities for builders across the United States. The data below shows the year-ending level of outstanding 1-4 family residential construction loans broken out by bank asset sizes. All Other Real Estate Development Loans Excluding 1-4 family residential construction loans, the level of all other outstanding real estate construction loans totaled $394.6 billion and was down 2.2% from the previous year This is also down from a peak in the second quarter of 2024 of $404.2 billion. The banks that held the most loans were those with total assets between $10-$250 billion totaling $163.2 billion (41.4%) to end 2024. Banks with $1-$10 billion in assets held $107.1 billion (27.3%), banks with more than $250 billion in assets held $86.6 billion (21.9%) and the smallest banks, those with less than $1 billion in assets, held $37.7 billion (9.6%). For the end of 2024, larger banks ($10 billion or more in assets) had more activity in the other construction and land development loan arena compared to 1-4 family residential construction holding 63.3% of the outstanding volume. It is worth noting, the FDIC data represent only the stock of loans, not changes in the underlying flows, so it is an imperfect data source. Nonetheless, lending remains much reduced from years past. The current amount of existing 1-4 family residential AD&C loans now stands 56% lower than the peak level of residential construction lending of $204 billion reached during the first quarter of 2008. Alternative sources of financing, including equity partners, have supplemented this capital market in recent years. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Volume of Residential Construction Loans Falls in Q4 20242025-03-21T08:21:35-05:00

Builders’ Profit Margins Improved in 2023

2025-03-11T09:16:47-05:00

Profitability for single-family home builders reached the highest levels in more than a decade in 2023.  Industrywide profit benchmarks are important because they allow companies to compare their financial performance against the entire industry.  Doing so can guide resource allocation, budgeting, and target setting for costs and expense lines.  More broadly, understanding industry benchmarks can lead to an improved business strategy and to higher financial results.  On average, builders reported $11.3 million in total revenue for fiscal year 2023.  Of that, about $9.0 million (79.3%) was spent on cost of sales (i.e., land, direct and indirect construction costs), which translates into an average gross profit margin of 20.7%.  Operating expenses (i.e., finance, S&M, G&A, and owner’s compensation) cost builders an average of $1.4 million (12.0% of revenue), leaving them with an average net profit margin of 8.7%.  This post summarizes the results from NAHB’s most recent edition of the Builders’ Cost of Doing Business Study. Based on historical survey data (performed every three years), the 20.7% average gross profit margin in 2023 was the highest registered since 2006 (20.8%).  As a point of reference, builders’ gross margin sank to a record low of 14.4% in 2008 (i.e., during the housing recession), but bounced back steadily through 2017 (19.0%).  The onset of COVID-19 in 2020 increased costs, causing builders’ average gross margin to drop (18.2%) for the first time since 2008. The 8.7% average net profit margin for fiscal year 2023 is the highest in this survey’s recent history, exceeding the 7.7% reported in 2006.  However, increased use of financial incentives, such as mortgage rate buydowns, and cuts in home prices are likely to have caused this margin to shrink in 2024. The Cost of Doing Business Study also tracks builders’ balance sheets.  On average, builders reported $7.2 million in total assets on their 2023 balance sheets.  Of that, $4.5 million (62%) was financed by liabilities (either short- or long-term) and the other $2.7 million (38%) by equity builders held in their companies. Historical data show the average $7.2 million in total assets in 2023 was 23% lower than in 2020 ($9.4 million), and builders’ lowest asset level since 2010 ($6.2 million).  But perhaps more important than fluctuations in the size of their balance sheets, the data reveal a long-term decline in builders’ reliance on debt to finance their operations: in 2006, 74% of their assets were backed up by debt; by 2020, the share was down 10 points to 64%; and by 2023, it dropped to a record low of 62%. Logically, the latter means builders are using more of their own capital to run their companies, as illustrated by their equity share rising from 26% of assets in 2006 to 38% in 2023. The NAHB Economics team will conduct a Cost of Doing Business Study for residential remodelers in the spring of 2025. If that is your firm’s primary activity, please consider participating in this confidential survey. We simply can’t produce benchmarks without your input.  To participate, please complete this form. A summary of the most recent profitability benchmarks for residential remodelers is available in this blog post. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Builders’ Profit Margins Improved in 20232025-03-11T09:16:47-05:00

Refinancing Drives Mortgage Activity Higher in February

2025-03-07T10:17:45-06:00

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey, rose 4.7% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis, primarily driven by refinancing activity. Compared to February last year, the index is 15.6% higher. The Purchase Index declined 6.5% (SA) from the previous month, though it may rebound as mortgage rates continue to fall amid weakening consumer sentiment and growing economic concerns. Meanwhile, the Refinance Index surged 22.7% (SA). Compared to February last year, purchase applications are marginally higher by 2.1%, while refinance activity has jumped 43.7%. The average 30-year fixed rate mortgage reported in the MBA survey for February fell 15 basis points (bps) to 6.9% (index level 687), 7 bps lower than a year ago. Loan sizes also increased with the average total market loan size (purchases and refinances combined) rising by 4.4% on a non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) basis from January to $389,500. For purchase loans, the average size increased by 3.93% to $446,000, while refinance loans experienced a 6.1% increase, reaching an average of $305,800. Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) saw a jump in average loan size of 5.9% from $1.07 million to $1.13 million. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Refinancing Drives Mortgage Activity Higher in February2025-03-07T10:17:45-06:00

Mortgage Rates Ease Slightly in February Amid Economic Uncertainty

2025-02-27T13:15:47-06:00

Mortgage rates declined marginally in February, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage falling to 6.84%. After climbing steadily since December and peaking at 7.04% in mid-January, rates have been trending downward. According to Freddie Mac, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased 12 basis points (bps) from January, while the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell 13 bps to 6.03%. Although the recent decline in mortgage rates and an increase in the total single-family homes supply are positive signs for buyers, homebuying activity may remain sluggish due to persistent high prices and mortgage rates still exceeding 6%. The 10-year Treasury yield declined 11 bps to an average of 4.52% in February, reversing its recent upward trend. This shift reflects concerns over a weakening U.S. economy due to inflationary pressures and increasing geopolitical risks. In response, the markets anticipate that the Federal Reserve will resume rate cuts later in the year. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Mortgage Rates Ease Slightly in February Amid Economic Uncertainty2025-02-27T13:15:47-06:00

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