Patios Continue to Crowd Out Decks on New Homes

2024-10-08T08:18:35-05:00

While the share of new homes with patios continues to climb, the share with decks has hovered at a historic low of under 18%, according to NAHB tabulation of data from the HUD/Census Bureau Survey of Construction (SOC). Every year from the re-design of the SOC in 2005 through 2018, over 22% of single-family homes started featured decks. After that, however, the share dropped significantly, reaching a low of 17.5% in 2021. Since then, the percentage has remained near that trough, at 17.7% in 2022 and 17.6% in 2023. Moreover, this has been occurring at the same time the share of new homes with patios was climbing to a record high 67.7%. In fact, the tendency of deck and patio percentages to move in opposite directions is evident throughout the 2005-2023 period. The correlation between the percentages over that span is -0.84, suggesting that patios on new homes have been functioning as a substitute for decks. When more new homes have patios, fewer have decks. New homes with both a deck and patio do occur but are comparatively rare. Among single-family homes started in 2023, fewer than 6% featured both a deck and a patio. Decks have been more common not only when but where patios are less common. For example, among single-family homes started in 2023, patios were least common (featured ion only 17% of the homes) in the New England Census Division, the same division where a high of 76% of the homes featured decks. At the other extreme, in the West South Central a divisional high 81% of new homes featured patios in 2023, and a divisional low of 3% featured decks. Across all nine divisions in 2023, the correlation between the percentages of new homes with decks and patios was -0.82. Nevertheless, decks remain relatively popular on new homes in some parts of the country. Following the 76% in New England at a distance, 42% of new homes featured decks in 2023 in both the Middle Atlantic and West North Central divisions. More detail on new home deck construction is available from the Annual Builder Practices Survey (BPS) conducted by Home Innovation Research Labs. Nationally, the 2024 BPS report (based on homes built in 2023) shows that the average size of a deck on a new single-family home is 284 square feet. Across Census divisions, the average size ranges from a low of 230 square feet in New England to a high of 382 square feet in the adjacent Middle Atlantic. On a square foot basis, the BPS shows an evolving geographic split in the material builders use most often in deck construction. In the West North Central, South Atlantic, East South Central and West South Central divisions, treated wood remains the top choice. In the New England, Middle Atlantic, East North Central and Mountain divisions, composite material has moved ahead of treated wood; while in the Pacific Division, concrete edged out composite for the top spot. The Pacific is also the only division where redwood (a species that can be used outdoors without special pressure treatment) is relatively common in new home deck construction. A previous post covered the characteristics of patios on single-family homes built in 2023. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Patios Continue to Crowd Out Decks on New Homes2024-10-08T08:18:35-05:00

Parking Garages for New Homes 2023

2024-10-04T09:20:25-05:00

In 2023, 66% of newly completed single-family homes featured two-car garages, according to NAHB’s analysis of the Census’s Survey of Construction data. This was the most common parking option across all Census divisions. By Census division, South Atlantic had the highest share of two-car garages at 72%. Three or more car garages were most popular in the West North Central division (38%), while one-car garages were most frequent in the Middle Atlantic division (22%).”Other” parking options, including carports and off-street parking, were most common in the East South Central division (17%). Nationwide, the share of new homes with three or more car garages was 17% in 2023. Three or more car garages have been trending downward since the peak of 24% in 2015, decreasing 2% from 2022.  One-car garages were present in 8% of new homes, another 2% possessed a carport, and 8% did not have any garage or carport. As home size increased, the share of homes with one-car garages or “other” parking options decreased. For homes under 1,200 square feet, “other” parking options were most common (72%). As home sizes go over 5,000 square feet, this share drops to just 2%. One-car garages were most common in homes between 1,200 and 1,599 square feet (18%), while only 1% of homes over 5,000 square feet had this feature. Two-car garages were most prevalent in homes between 1,600 and 1,999 square feet (72%), with the largest share at 81% for homes between 2,000 and 2,399 square feet. For homes between 2,400-2,999 square feet, the two-car garage share fell to 77%. Two-car garages were also the most popular options for homes 3,000-4,999 square feet as well with a smaller share at 58%. Three-car garages were rare in smaller homes (3% for those under 1,200 square feet) but became the most common option (65%) for homes over 5,000 square feet. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Parking Garages for New Homes 20232024-10-04T09:20:25-05:00

Bedrooms in New Single-Family Homes in 2023

2024-09-23T09:22:18-05:00

In 2023, the most common number of bedrooms in newly-built single-family homes continued to be three at a 45.7% share.  This share is up almost three percentage points from 42.8% in 2022. The second highest share was single-family homes with four bedrooms at 33.1%, followed by homes with two bedrooms or less at 11.5% and then homes with five or more bedrooms at 9.7%. As shown above, the share of single-family homes started with three bedrooms rose to its highest level since 2019. While this share rose, the second most frequently built number of bedrooms (four) fell to 33.1%, the lowest share for such homes since 2012. At the same time, the share of new single-family homes with 2 bedrooms or less reached its highest level since 2012. The share of homes with five bedrooms or more has remained fairly stagnant at around 10% over the past ten years. Regions Across U.S. Census divisions, the share of new single-family homes with four or more bedrooms features distinct variations. The share ranged from a low of 22.0% in the New England division to the highest share of 47.9% in the West South Central division. Coinciding with the fall in the share of new single-family homes with 4 bedrooms or more nationally, there are no divisions that have a share above 50%. In 2022, the data featured the South Atlantic (51.7%), Pacific (51.4%) and West South Central (50.6%) all with above 50% shares. Purpose of Construction The number of bedrooms in the home greatly varied in 2023 depending on a new single-family home’s purpose of construction (built-for-sale, contractor-built, owner-built, built-for-rent). Most of this variation comes from the two-bedroom or less homes and four-bedrooms homes. For example, the share of new single-family homes with two bedrooms or less ranges from 5.7% of homes built-for-sale to 38.4% of homes built-for-rent. Meanwhile, three-bedroom homes and five or more bedroom homes display relatively little change across purpose of construction, as shown in the chart below.    Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Bedrooms in New Single-Family Homes in 20232024-09-23T09:22:18-05:00

Custom Home Building Share Declines in 2023

2024-09-20T09:32:18-05:00

In 2023, 18.8 percent of all new single-family homes started were custom homes. This share decreased from the 20.4 percent recorded in 2022, according to data tabulated from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC). The custom home market consists of contractor-built and owner-built homes—homes built one at a time for owner occupancy on the owner’s land, with either the owner or a builder acting as a general contractor. The alternatives are homes built-for-sale (on the builder’s land, often in subdivisions, with the intention of selling the house and land in one transaction) and homes built-for-rent.    In 2023, 71.5 percent of the single-family homes started were built-for-sale, and 9.7 percent were built-for-rent. At an 18.9 percent share, the number of custom homes started in 2023 was 177,850, falling from 207,472 in 2022.  The quarterly published statistics show that the custom home share of single-family starts showed gains in the second quarter of 2024 after some recent slowing. Although the quarterly statistics are timelier, they lack the geographic detail available in the annual data set. When analyzed across the 9 census divisions, the annual data show that the highest custom home share in 2023 was 35.5 percent in the East South-Central division. While the lowest share was in the West South-Central division, where the share was only 11.9 percent. The share of custom homes across U.S. divisions are showed in the map below. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Custom Home Building Share Declines in 20232024-09-20T09:32:18-05:00

Where are Laundry Rooms Located? 

2024-09-11T10:16:26-05:00

In 2023, the majority of homes started featured laundry connections on the first floor (72%), according to the Census’s Survey of Construction. Laundry located on the second floor or higher was the second most prevalent at 26%. The basement, garage, and other locations all had a 1% or lower share.   In NAHB’s What Home Buyer’s Really Want1, home buyers are surveyed on where they would like their laundry located. While the first floor remained the most desired location for laundry at 60%, preferences diverged significantly for other locations. The basement was the second most popular choice at 17%, followed by the garage at 15%, and only 7% for the second floor or higher.  This comparison highlights a disconnect between what builders are offering and what buyers are seeking. While builders are largely opting for laundry connections on the first or second floor, a notable portion of buyers prefer the basement or garage. This variance is shown in the chart below. There are also regional differences in where laundry is placed. The first floor was the most prevalent across every division but ranged from 91% in West South Central to 59% in the South Atlantic. Second-floor laundry was highest in the Pacific division at 43% but was lowest in the West South Central at 8%.   The West North Central had a 13% share of homes with the laundry room in the basement, the only division with a share above 5%; They are also the only division with most homes having a full or partial basement. No regions had over a 2% share of laundry located in the garage.  What Home Buyer’s Really Want breaks down buyer preferences further by age, household composition, race/ethnicity, buyer income, and more. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Where are Laundry Rooms Located? 2024-09-11T10:16:26-05:00

Economies of Scale in Single-family Home Construction

2024-09-03T08:21:13-05:00

The cost per square foot of a single-family home declines systematically as the home becomes larger, according to NAHB analysis of two recent data sources. In microeconomics, unit costs that decline as a business operation increases in size are called economies of scale. In home building, economies of scale may exist in several forms. It is conceivable, for instance, that homes cost less if they are built in larger subdivisions, or by larger companies, where design costs may be spread over a large number of production units. This post, however, focuses on economies of scale at the level of an individual home. In other words, does cost per square foot decline, all else equal, as a home increases in size? The answer is yes, according to NAHB tabulation of data from the Survey of Construction (conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau with partial funding from the Department of Housing and Urban Development). Last Friday’s post reported on how the sale price per square foot of new single-family detached homes varies across time and geography. The chart below shows how it varies with the size of the home (measured in square footage of finished floor space). It is easy to see that the median price declines systematically, from a high of $200 per square foot for homes under 1,200 square feet to a low of only $132 per square foot for homes with 5,000 square feet or more. There could be several reasons for this. A conventional explanation is that some components of construction cost—for example, design, regulatory and waste disposal costs—may be more or less fixed and not change much with house size. The above sale price numbers are calculated after subtracting the value of the improved lot, but do not otherwise control for differences in quality or amenities present in the homes. One of the private services that does carefully control for quality and amenities when estimating construction costs per square foot is RSMeans. The chart below shows the base cost per square foot for a two-story home in each of the four RSMeans quality tiers: Economy, Average, Custom and Luxury. Within each tier, characteristics of the home (other than square footage) are held constant. The “Average” two-story home, for instance, has a simple design from standard plans, no basement, a kitchen, single full bathroom, asphalt shingles on the roof, wood framing, wood siding, gypsum wallboard interior, and average quality materials and workmanship. As in the previous chart, cost per square foot declines systematically as the house gets bigger. Although the rate of decline varies, at the low end of the size scale, doubling the size of the home reduces the base cost per square foot by somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 percent. Interested readers may consult RSMeans for further details. The bottom line is that economies of scale are ubiquitous in new single-family homes throughout both the Census sale price and private cost estimating data. This is significant due to the volume of queries NAHB fields about construction costs. Almost invariably, the queries ask for cost per square foot. To avoid large errors, it is important the requesters realize that the number will change depending on the size of the home. If you apply cost per square foot for a 3,000 square-foot home to a home with only 1,500 square feet, for instance, you will drastically underestimate the home’s total cost. Ideally, this post will be able to serve as a reference in these situations. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Economies of Scale in Single-family Home Construction2024-09-03T08:21:13-05:00

Number of Bathrooms in New Single-Family Homes in 2023

2024-08-27T10:30:08-05:00

A majority of single-family homes started in 2023 continued to have two full bathrooms according to the latest release of the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction.  According to the latest data, 64.7% of new single-family homes started in 2023 had two full bathrooms, 23.8% had three full bathrooms, 6.9% had 4 or more full bathrooms, and only 4.6% had one full bathroom or less. The recent data features the largest increase since 2018 in single-family homes with two bathrooms, as the share increased from 62.3% to 64.7%. This reverses the trend of the past two years when this share consecutively decreased. The share of single-family starts with 3 full bathrooms fell for the second straight year, down to 23.8%, while the share of single-family starts with 1 full bathroom or less rose to 4.6%, the third straight increase. Single-family homes started with 4 or more bathrooms share decreased to 6.9%, after increasing the prior two years. Across the U.S., the New England census division had the highest share at 75.6% of new single-family starts having two full bathrooms. This share jumped by 22.2 percentage points from 2022, and this was the first time since 2017 that the New England share was the largest in the nation. The lowest share census division was the Middle Atlantic, with 50.0% of new single-family starts reporting two full bathrooms. The share of new single-family started with two full bathrooms fell 9.2 percentage points from 2022 in the Middle Atlantic. Half-Bathrooms Most new single-family homes started in 2023 have no half-bathrooms at 54.7%. Following closely is the share of new single-family homes with one half-bathroom at 43.8% . New single-family starts with two or more half-bathrooms had a small share of 1.5% in 2023. Half-bathrooms are historically prevalent in the New England census division as 79.8% of new single-family starts had at least one in 2023. Half-bathrooms were the least common in the West South Central, with only 38.3% of new single-family starts reporting at least one half-bathroom. A trend of note is in the Pacific, where the share has fallen for five consecutive years, from 53.2% in 2018 to 40.7% in 2023. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Number of Bathrooms in New Single-Family Homes in 20232024-08-27T10:30:08-05:00

Share of New Homes with Patios Continues to Climb

2024-08-26T11:26:31-05:00

The share of new homes with patios increased to yet another record high in 2023. Of the roughly 950,000 single-family homes started during the year, 63.7% came with patios. This is up from 63.3% in 2022 and marks the eighth consecutive year the percentage set a new record high. The source for these numbers is NAHB tabulation of data from the Survey of Construction (conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau with partial funding from the Department of Housing and Urban Development). Historically, fewer than half of new homes came with patios during the 2008-2011 period of extreme weakness in housing markets. But soon thereafter, the share jumped to 52.4% in 2012 and has been climbing ever since. The percentage has now increased in thirteen of the past fourteen years. The only exception was 2015, when the percentage was unchanged. While patios for new homes have generally become more common over time, the parts of the country where they tend to be most common have remained consistent. At the low end, only 17% percent of new single-family homes built in New England and 20% in the Middle Atlantic came with patios in 2023. At the high end, the incidence of patios on new homes was over 80% in the West South Central and close to 70% in the South Atlantic and Mountain divisions. The geographic tendencies are similar to the ones reported in last year’s post. Additional detail on the characteristics of new-home patios is available from the Annual Builder Practices Survey (BPS) conducted by Home Innovation Research Labs. For the U.S. as a whole, the 2024 BPS report (based on homes built in 2023, like the SOC-based statistics cited above) shows that the average size of a new-home patio is about 290 square feet, but with considerable geographic variation. The average is over 400 square feet in the East South Central and about 380 square feet in New England; but under 200 square feet in the West South Central, and only a little over 200 square feet in the adjacent West North Central division. In most parts of the country, poured concrete dominates all other building materials used in new-home patios. In the East South Central, for instance, poured concrete accounts for over 90% of new-home patios on a square-foot basis. To the extent that there are exceptions, they occur on the east coast. In the South Atlantic, concrete and brick pavers each have about a quarter of the market, and poured concrete has less than half. In New England, the market is more or less equally divided among poured concrete, concrete pavers and natural stone. In the Mid-Atlantic, brick pavers are the most popular choice for new-home patios by a substantial margin. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Share of New Homes with Patios Continues to Climb2024-08-26T11:26:31-05:00

Homes Built in Age-Restricted Communities 

2024-08-15T10:21:10-05:00

Of the roughly 950,000 single-family and 470,000 multifamily homes that started construction in 2023, 49,000 (30,000 single-family and 19,000 multifamily) were built in age-restricted communities, according to NAHB tabulation of data from the Census’s Survey of Construction. A residential community can be legally age-restricted, provided it conforms to one of the set of rules specified in the Housing for Older Persons Act of 1995.  NAHB was first successful in persuading HUD and the Census Bureau to collect and publish data on the age-restricted status of new homes in 2009, during the depths of the housing downturn. In 2009, builders started only 17,000 homes in age-restricted communities (9,000 single-family and 8,000 multifamily).  The numbers then increased steadily until reaching 60,000 age-restricted starts (roughly evenly split between single-family and multifamily) in 2018. These numbers fell during the pandemic but rebounded in 2021-2022, almost reaching the peak from 2018.   In 2023, the total number of age-restricted home starts decreased by approximately 17% from 2022, down to 49,000. Overall, housing starts were lower than the previous year, with single-family and multifamily starts dropping by about 6% and 14%, respectively. However, age-restricted home starts showed a mixed trend: they increased for single-family homes but declined for multifamily homes. This shift was due to a higher percentage of single-family home starts being age-restricted compared to the previous year, while a lower percentage of multi-family home starts fell into this category.  The SOC data allow for a comparison of the characteristics of new age-restricted single-family homes with other single-family homes started in 2023. The analysis reveals that age-restricted homes were more expensive, with a median price of $500,000, compared to $422,000 for non-age-restricted homes. This follows a similar tendency observed in 2022, when age-restricted homes had a median price of $547,000, compared to $461,000 for non-age-restricted homes. However, in 2022, the median size was the same for both types of homes, making age-restricted homes more expensive per square foot. In 2023, on the other hand, the median size was 200 square feet larger for age-restricted homes, resulting in the same median price per square foot for both types of homes at $152.63. A difference was also apparent in lot value. Although the median lot size was the same for age-restricted and non-age-restricted lots (0.2 acres), the median value for age-restricted lots was $50,000 compared to $60,000 for non-age-restricted lots. Additional data from the 2023 SOC reveal that age-restricted homes have distinct characteristics compared to non-age-restricted homes. A higher percentage of age-restricted homes are attached, single-story, and lack a basement. These homes are also more likely to come with patios and porches, but less likely to have decks.  Finally, age-restricted homes are less likely to require a loan and more likely to be purchased for cash, as home buyers who are older have had more of a chance to accumulate the savings and assets (often equity in a previous home) that can be converted to cash. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Homes Built in Age-Restricted Communities 2024-08-15T10:21:10-05:00

Market Share of 5,000+ Square Foot Homes Declines in 2023

2024-07-26T10:19:36-05:00

The number of homes started in 2023 exceeding 5,000 square feet, dropped to 26,000, a decrease from 29,000 in 2022, according to the annual data from the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC). In 2006, the number of new 5,000+ square foot homes reached a peak of 45,000. This number proceeded to drop during the Great Recession and hit a low of 11,000 in 2009. Since 2013, this number has remained consistently above 20,000, and reached a small peak of 33,000 in 2021. Of the total number of new homes started in 2023, the share of new homes with 5,000+ square feet was down slightly as well, from 2.90% in 2021 to 2.76% in 2023. In 2015, the 5,000+ square foot home share reached a peak of 3.92%. Since then, the share has fluctuated in a band between 2.50% and 3.08%.  The 2023 decline in the share of 5,000+ square foot homes is consistent with the recent, quarterly downward trend in median and average size of new single-family homes.  Tabulating the major characteristics of 5,000+ square foot homes started in 2023, the data shows 84% have a porch, 79% have a finished basement, 67% have 4 bathrooms or more, 61% have a patio, 60% have a 3-or-more car garage, 50% belong to a community association and 58% have 5 bedrooms or more.  Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Market Share of 5,000+ Square Foot Homes Declines in 20232024-07-26T10:19:36-05:00

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