Home Price Gains Continue to Slow

2024-08-28T09:22:35-05:00

Home price growth continues to decelerate, according to the recent release of the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (HPI). The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.89% for June 2024, slowing from a revised rate of 3.28% in May. Home prices have not seen an outright decrease since January of 2023. However, 1.89% is the smallest growth in prices since February of 2023. Additionally, the growth rate has shown a generally declining trend since a peak of 9.76% in August 2023. Meanwhile, the Home Price Index released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA; SA), recorded a decline in home prices for June. The index declined at an annual rate of -1.04% for June, decreasing from a revised 0.51% rate in May. The FHFA Index has experienced just one other decrease since August of 2022, with a decline of -1.03% in January 2024. Year-Over-Year Home prices experienced a fourth year-over-year deceleration in June, tabulated by both indexes. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI (not seasonally adjusted – NSA) posted a 5.42% annual gain in June, down from a 5.94% increase in May. Since June of 2023, the index has seen steady increases in the year-over-year growth rate. However, this growth rate began slowing in March of 2024 and has continued to decelerate through June. Meanwhile, the FHFA HPI (NSA) index rose 5.23%, down from 5.95% in May. This rate has decelerated from 7.19% in February. By Metro Area In addition to tracking national home price changes, the S&P CoreLogic Index (NSA) also reported home price indexes across 20 metro areas in May. At an annual rate, five out of 20 metro areas reported home price declines: Phoenix at -3.02%, Portland at -2.90%, Dallas at -0.69%, Charlotte at -0.56%, and Miami at -0.03%. Among the 20 metro areas, thirteen exceeded the national rate of 1.89%. Seattle had the highest rate at 10.80%, followed by San Diego at 9.18%, and then Los Angeles at 7.89%. The monthly trends are shown in the graph below. By Census Division Monthly, the FHFA HPI (SA) releases not only national data but census division data as well. Out of the nine census divisions, seven posted negative monthly depreciation (adjusted to an annual rate) for June, ranging from -7.59% in the Mountain division to -0.82% in the Middle Atlantic. The remaining two divisions with positive home price appreciation were East South Central at 8.66% and the South Atlantic at 3.09%. The FHFA HPI releases its metro and state data on a quarterly basis, which NAHB analyzes in a previous post. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Home Price Gains Continue to Slow2024-08-28T09:22:35-05:00

Home Price Gains Moderate for Third Straight Month

2024-07-30T15:23:13-05:00

Home prices experienced a third year-over-year deceleration in May, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index. On a year-over-year basis, the non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) index posted a 5.94% annual gain in May, down from a 6.39% increase in April. Since June of 2023, the index had seen steady increases in the year-over-year growth rate. However, this growth rate began slowing in March of 2024, and has continued to decelerate through May. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index (HPI) increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.09% for May. This was following a revised rate of 3.91% in April. May marks the 16th consecutive monthly increase; home prices have not seen an outright decrease since January of 2023. FHFA HPI Meanwhile, the Home Price Index released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA; NSA), has also seen year-over year growth deceleration for the third consecutive month. For May, the index rose 5.79%, down from 6.61% in April. It has decelerated from a 7.17% rate in February. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the index saw a declined at an annual rate of -0.34% for May, decreasing from a revised 4.16% rate in April. The FHFA Index has experienced just one other decrease since August of 2022, with a decline of -1.03% in January 2024. By Census Division Monthly, the FHFA HPI (SA) releases not only national data but by census division reporting as well. Out of the nine census divisions, four posted negative monthly depreciation (adjusted to an annual rate) for May: West North Central (-5.53%), East South Central (-4.00%), the Pacific (-3.82%), and West South Central (-1.36%). The remaining five divisions with positive home price appreciation ranged from 1.01% in the Mountain division to 3.05% in the New England division. The FHFA HPI releases their metro and state data on a quarterly basis, which NAHB analyzes on a previous post. By Metro Area In addition to tracking national home price changes, the S&P CoreLogic Index (NSA) also reported home price indexes across 20 metro areas in May. At an annual rate, three out of 20 metro areas reported home price declines: Phoenix at -6.56%, Portland at -4.99%, and Dallas at -0.73%. Among the 20 metro areas, ten exceeded the national rate of 3.09%. Detroit had the highest rate at 10.70%, followed by New York at 9.76%, and then Cleveland at 8.40%. Discover more from Eye On Housing Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.

Home Price Gains Moderate for Third Straight Month2024-07-30T15:23:13-05:00

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